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ECONOMY

Schäuble pressures Greece to tackle debt

German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schäuble on Thursday warned of "worrying news" coming from the eurozone and said Greece must fulfil the conditions required if it wants more help to combat its debt crisis.

Schäuble pressures Greece to tackle debt
Photo: DPA

Speaking in parliament, Schäuble said it was “very important, especially given the worrying news from the eurozone, that the fund can, if necessary, release short-term funds to recapitalise banks.”

“It is very important that we combat the danger of contagion in the banking sector by providing access to additional capital,” he said.

Ratcheting up the pressure on Athens, Schäuble said it was too soon to talk about a second bailout package for Greece, considering the country has yet to implement reforms required to receive its first full disbursement.

“The debate over a second aid package to Greece is very premature given the current difficulties around the payment of the first package,” said the minister.

The European Union and International Monetary Fund bailed out debt-wracked Greece in May 2010, with a package worth €110 billion ($155 billion).

Athens was due to get its next €8-billion payout from the fund later this month but must first demonstrate it has achieved the fiscal targets laid down by its international partners.

However, EU and IMF auditors promptly left Greece last week saying more work was needed, sending the markets crashing and raising fears that Greece would not live up to its fiscal promises.

In July, EU leaders agreed a second bailout package worth some €109 billion, this time with a one-off contribution from the private sector.

“We understand the problems in Greece. Reducing a deficit … results in serious strains for the population concerned,” Schäuble said.

“But at the end of the day, it is up to Greece itself to decide whether it is ready to take the necessary measures to reduce its deficit and its too-high debt,” he added.

Anger is growing in Germany, which contributes the lion’s share of the guarantees for the rescue funds, over Greece’s perceived backsliding in implementing reforms, with some politicians calling for Athens to leave the euro.

“The situation in Greece is serious,” Schäuble said.

AFP/emh

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ECONOMY

How is Denmark’s economy handling inflation and rate rises?

Denmark's economy is now expected to avoid a recession in the coming years, with fewer people losing their jobs than expected, despite high levels of inflation and rising interest rates, The Danish Economic Council has said in a new report.

How is Denmark's economy handling inflation and rate rises?

The council, led by four university economics professors commonly referred to as “the wise men” or vismænd in Denmark, gave a much rosier picture of Denmark’s economy in its spring report, published on Tuesday, than it did in its autumn report last year. 

“We, like many others, are surprised by how employment continues to rise despite inflation and higher interest rates,” the chair or ‘chief wise man’,  Carl-Johan Dalgaard, said in a press release.

“A significant drop in energy prices and a very positive development in exports mean that things have gone better than feared, and as it looks now, the slowdown will therefore be more subdued than we estimated in the autumn.”

In the English summary of its report, the council noted that in the autumn, market expectations were that energy prices would remain at a high level, with “a real concern for energy supply shortages in the winter of 2022/23”.

That the slowdown has been more subdued, it continued was largely due to a significant drop in energy prices compared to the levels seen in late summer 2022, and compared to the market expectations for 2023.  

The council now expects Denmark’s GDP growth to slow to 1 percent in 2023 rather than for the economy to shrink by 0.2 percent, as it predicted in the autumn. 

In 2024, it expects the growth rate to remain the same as in 2003, with another year of 1 percent GDP growth. In its autumn report it expected weaker growth of 0.6 percent in 2024.

What is the outlook for employment? 

In the autumn, the expert group estimated that employment in Denmark would decrease by 100,000 people towards the end of the 2023, with employment in 2024  about 1 percent below the estimated structural level. 

Now, instead, it expects employment will fall by just 50,000 people by 2025.

What does the expert group’s outlook mean for interest rates and government spending? 

Denmark’s finance minister Nikolai Wammen came in for some gentle criticism, with the experts judging that “the 2023 Finance Act, which was adopted in May, should have been tighter”.  The current government’s fiscal policy, it concludes “has not contributed to countering domestic inflationary pressures”. 

The experts expect inflation to stay above 2 percent in 2023 and 2024 and not to fall below 2 percent until 2025. 

If the government decides to follow the council’s advice, the budget in 2024 will have to be at least as tight, if not tighter than that of 2023. 

“Fiscal policy in 2024 should not contribute to increasing demand pressure, rather the opposite,” they write. 

The council also questioned the evidence justifying abolishing the Great Prayer Day holiday, which Denmark’s government has claimed will permanently increase the labour supply by 8,500 full time workers. 

“The council assumes that the abolition of Great Prayer Day will have a short-term positive effect on the labour supply, while there is no evidence of a long-term effect.” 

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