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EARNINGS

Volkswagen sets sales record in first quarter

Volkswagen reported a three-fold profit leap Wednesday and said it had sold two million cars in the three months from January through March, a new milestone for the biggest car maker in Europe.

Volkswagen sets sales record in first quarter
Photo: DPA

The VW statement underscored “sustained high demand in China, India, Central and Eastern Europe, and North and South America” as the main drivers behind its strong results.

It quoted finance director Dieter Pötsch as saying: “Our sound finances and continuous improvements in profitability are the basis for the Volkswagen group’s successful future.”

The group, which owns nine brands, hit the gas as it races to become the world’s biggest auto manufacturer taking on the likes of Toyota, posting a first-quarter net profit of €1.71 billion ($2.5 billion). The comparable figure for 2010 was €473 million.

Chairman Martin Winterkorn, who has boosted VW’s fortunes since he took over in 2007, said in a statement that it would stay in the fast lane throughout 2011, convincing investors who snapped up VW shares in midday Frankfurt trading.

Analysts polled by Dow Jones Newswires had expected a stronger net profit of €1.84 billion, but Anita Paluch at ETX Capital said VW was still “seen as the most attractive company in the sector thanks to its potential, positioning in China and competent management.”

First-quarter operating profit came in at €2.9 billion, a relatively modest gain from the €2.1 billion figure a year earlier.

As for sales, the VW group, which owns brands including Audi, Seat and Skoda, reported a 14-percent increase in terms of the number of vehicles and a jump of 30.8 percent in value terms to €37.5 billion.

Volkswagen also plans to integrate Porsche among its stable of thoroughbred brands alongside Bentley, Bugatti and Lamborghini, but must wait until Porsche has settled legal issues arising from its aborted attempt to buy VW in 2008.

The group’s auto division was sitting on a cash pile worth €19.6 billion at the end of the first quarter, which Pötsch stressed was “not an end in itself.”

He said that “rather, it provides us with the financial flexibility we need for our investments,” and to reach the goal of overtaking General Motors and Toyota to become the leading global car maker by 2018.

With respect to 2011, Winterkorn added: “Volkswagen shifted into the fast lane in 2010 and that’s exactly where we intend to stay this year.”

The group reiterated that still expects sales and operating profit to surpass the 2010 figures of €126.9 billion and €7.1 billion, respectively.

In midday trading, VW shares showed a gain of 4.56 percent to €126.20, far and away the biggest gainer on the DAX index of German blue chips, which was just 0.88 percent higher overall.

AFP/mry

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ECONOMY

How is Denmark’s economy handling inflation and rate rises?

Denmark's economy is now expected to avoid a recession in the coming years, with fewer people losing their jobs than expected, despite high levels of inflation and rising interest rates, The Danish Economic Council has said in a new report.

How is Denmark's economy handling inflation and rate rises?

The council, led by four university economics professors commonly referred to as “the wise men” or vismænd in Denmark, gave a much rosier picture of Denmark’s economy in its spring report, published on Tuesday, than it did in its autumn report last year. 

“We, like many others, are surprised by how employment continues to rise despite inflation and higher interest rates,” the chair or ‘chief wise man’,  Carl-Johan Dalgaard, said in a press release.

“A significant drop in energy prices and a very positive development in exports mean that things have gone better than feared, and as it looks now, the slowdown will therefore be more subdued than we estimated in the autumn.”

In the English summary of its report, the council noted that in the autumn, market expectations were that energy prices would remain at a high level, with “a real concern for energy supply shortages in the winter of 2022/23”.

That the slowdown has been more subdued, it continued was largely due to a significant drop in energy prices compared to the levels seen in late summer 2022, and compared to the market expectations for 2023.  

The council now expects Denmark’s GDP growth to slow to 1 percent in 2023 rather than for the economy to shrink by 0.2 percent, as it predicted in the autumn. 

In 2024, it expects the growth rate to remain the same as in 2003, with another year of 1 percent GDP growth. In its autumn report it expected weaker growth of 0.6 percent in 2024.

What is the outlook for employment? 

In the autumn, the expert group estimated that employment in Denmark would decrease by 100,000 people towards the end of the 2023, with employment in 2024  about 1 percent below the estimated structural level. 

Now, instead, it expects employment will fall by just 50,000 people by 2025.

What does the expert group’s outlook mean for interest rates and government spending? 

Denmark’s finance minister Nikolai Wammen came in for some gentle criticism, with the experts judging that “the 2023 Finance Act, which was adopted in May, should have been tighter”.  The current government’s fiscal policy, it concludes “has not contributed to countering domestic inflationary pressures”. 

The experts expect inflation to stay above 2 percent in 2023 and 2024 and not to fall below 2 percent until 2025. 

If the government decides to follow the council’s advice, the budget in 2024 will have to be at least as tight, if not tighter than that of 2023. 

“Fiscal policy in 2024 should not contribute to increasing demand pressure, rather the opposite,” they write. 

The council also questioned the evidence justifying abolishing the Great Prayer Day holiday, which Denmark’s government has claimed will permanently increase the labour supply by 8,500 full time workers. 

“The council assumes that the abolition of Great Prayer Day will have a short-term positive effect on the labour supply, while there is no evidence of a long-term effect.” 

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