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Swedish economy posts record growth

Sweden's economy easily beat expectations to post record growth in the third quarter, driven by strong domestic demand, as the government warned against over-confidence.

The Scandinavian country’s economy, which is expected to end the year as Europe’s strongest, swelled by a much better-than-expected 2.1 percent compared to the previous three-month period, and year-on-year the growth was even steeper, at 6.9 percent, Statistics Sweden said.

The latter is the highest gross domestic product growth rate since the statistics agency began its quarterly measurements in 1970, and “is most probably the highest since 1950,” Peter Buven, an analyst with the statistics agency, told the TT news agency.

Swedish Prime Minister Fredrik Reinfeldt hailed the growth figures, which he described to TT as “very strong in an environment where many others in Europe have deep problems.”

However, he stressed the necessity of showing “humility, since Sweden is very exposed by its dependance on exports to the world around us, which is seeing a completely different kind of development.”

In light of the current Irish banking catastrophe and deepening concern about other eurozone economies, “it is difficult to estimate how long (this strong growth) will last,” he acknowledged.

Meanwhile, Buven pointed out that the strong GDP growth figures announced Monday were “of course due to the deep drop we experienced last year.”

In 2009, Sweden saw its economy shrink a full 5.3 percent, but according to Mats Dillen, the head of Sweden’s National Institute of Economic Research (NIER), the country’s GDP is now back at its pre-crisis 2008 level.

“The financial crisis is looking even deeper now than we thought before. That means things are looking even better this year, as we emerge from a negative situation and see a powerful boost upwards,” he told the TT news agency.

A few months ago, NIER forecast that Sweden would register 4.3 percent growth this year and 3.4 percent in 2011, but after seeing Monday’s statistics, Dillen said “for the current year, we will probably have to significantly revise up the expected growth.”

“We will probably see growth above five percent this year,” he said, adding that he would not yet make any new estimates for next year, since “we also need to take into consideration the international development.”

The Swedish growth figures, which already soundly beat analyst expectations in the second quarter, were again far better than expected in the July-to-September period.

According to a poll by the Dow Jones Newswires, analysts had anticipated a 1.3-percent hike compared to the second quarter and an increase of 5.6 percent compared to the third quarter of 2009.

Statistics Sweden meanwhile slightly revised down the growth numbers for the the April-to-June period, showing that Sweden’s GDP grew 4.5 percent year-on-year. Quarter-on-quarter, the number remained at 1.9 percent.

Contributing to the strong third-quarter growth, according to the statistics agency, was a 3.5-percent increase in household consumption expenditures and a 1.8-percent jump in government consumption expenditures.

Changes in inventories meanwhile alone contributed to 2.9-percent of the GDP increase, Statistics Sweden said.

Sweden, which emerged from recession in the second quarter of 2009 and saw growth quickly pick up in the first quarter of 2010, now has one of Europe’s strongest growth rates.

Like Reinfeldt, Finance Minister Anders Borg, who has been largely credited with the Scandinavian country’s dramatic turn-around, also cautioned Monday against allowing the strong growth figures to lead to “hubris.”

“We must remember that when countries explode, as we have seen in Iceland and Ireland, this has usually been preceded by extreme confidence. Things have looked good and one has been afflicted by hubris. But we will not let that happen to us,” he told reporters in Stockholm.

“It is extremely important that we keep our public finances in order,” he added.

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OSLO

Today in Norway: A roundup of the latest news on Wednesday

Find out what's going on in Norway on Wednesday with The Local's short roundup of important news.

Today in Norway: A roundup of the latest news on Wednesday
Trondheim harbour. Photo by Carlo Alberto Burato on Unsplash

Norway passes 2 million vaccines administered
Norway has now administered more than 2 million vaccines in total, health authorities have announced.

According to the Norwegian Institute of Public Health, the Nordic country passed the landmark on Tuesday evening.

Since the first vaccine dose was given on December 27th, 2020, Norway has administered 2,019,546 doses of a coronavirus vaccine.

READ MORE: Norway to offer everyone second Covid-19 vaccine by end of August

So far, 1,503,794 people have received their first dose, and 515,752 people have received their second dose.

“I want to say a big thank you to all those who are out in the municipalities and who ensure such good progress is being made. I am delighted that the vaccination program in Norway continues at a good pace,” Health Minister, Bent Høie, told news agency NTB.

Number of gambling addicts seeking help during the pandemic rises sharply
The number of people who contacted Gambling Addiction Norway for the first time rose sharply in 2020.

792 people contacted Gambling Addiction Norway compared to 436 the year before, an increase of 82 percent.

Furthermore, the organisation says that numbers this year compare similarly with last year.

“We have never such high numbers before,” Lill-Tove Bergmo, leader of the organisation.

Current Coronavirus restrictions in Oslo extended until end of May
Oslo’s local Covid-19 restrictions will not be relaxed until May 27th t at the earliest.

Next week, the city council will decide whether the city will have more measures lifted at the end of May.

The city has adopted a phased approach to the second step of its five-step plan to reopen.

READ MORE: Oslo relaxes Covid restrictions with shops and malls to reopen 

The next set of measures that will be lifted will see bar’s and restaurants reopen and serve alcohol, along with gyms reopening.

“I understand that the hospitality industry and owners and users of gyms are getting impatient. The first part of step two of the reopening plan seems to have gone well, but we must still be careful. If infections stay low, then it should be possible to open restaurants, gyms, museums and more before may is over,” the city’s mayor, Raymond Johansen, said.

Decline in Norwegian economy in the first quarter
GDP for mainland Norway fell by one percent in the first quarter, according to seasonally adjusted figures.

There was an economic decline in each of the first three months of the year due to increased coronavirus infections and stricter infection control measures that sure retail and hospitality close in parts of the country.

READ MORE: Explained: What Norway’s revised budget means for you 

Total GDP, which accounts for offshore oil and gas extraction, and foreign shipping, fell by 0.6 percent.

Mainland Norway’s GDP was two percent lower in March 2021 compared to when the pandemic began.

473 new Covid-19 infections recorded
On Tuesday, 473 coronavirus infections were registered, a decrease of 36 on the seven-day average.

In Oslo, 86 cases were recorded on Tuesday, 23 less than the seven-day average.

The R-number or reproduction rate in Norway is currently 0.7. This means that the pandemic is receding in Norway as for every ten people that are infected, they will, on average, only infect another seven people.

Total number of Covid-19 cases. Source: NIPH
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