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RUSSIA

Siemens lands Russian train and turbine deals

German engineering giant Siemens on Thursday signed deals worth several billion euros for the supply of trains and wind turbines to Russia, as the country embarks on a drive to modernise its outdated economy.

Siemens lands Russian train and turbine deals
Photo: DPA

Russian President Dmitry Medvedev and German Chancellor Angela Merkel oversaw the agreement as they vowed to cement tight Moscow-Berlin links further.

Siemens also agreed to help the Kremlin in its efforts to establish a technology centre in Skolkovo just outside Moscow – the country’s answer to Silicon Valley – for which the government has earmarked 170 billion rubles ($5.5 billion).

“These truly are serious, big agreements,” Medvedev told reporters after the talks with Merkel – their fifth meeting this year – in the Urals city of Yekaterinburg. “This is the evidence of a fundamental character of our strategic partnership.”

Under a memorandum of understanding Siemens will modernise 22 Russian railway switching yards by 2026 and jointly with Russian Railways build 240 regional trains over the next ten years. Siemens is also to install wind turbines with a total capacity of up to 1,250 megawatts in Russia by 2015, the company said in a statement.

The deals have a total value of “several billion euros”, Siemens said, without giving further financial details.

German government sources have reportedly said the railway deal alone is worth €2.2 billion ($2.8 billion).

The German firm also inked a deal with state conglomerate Russian Technologies and utility company RusHydro.

Russia’s VEB development bank and Germany’s KfW bank group for their part signed an agreement to support small and medium-sized businesses.

Medvedev invited German businesspeople to invest in companies which had until recently been off limits to foreigners.

“I expect that German companies will take part in the modernisation of companies they are interested in, also taking into account my decision to reduce the number of strategic enterprises,” Medvedev said.

Last month, Medvedev announced he was cutting fivefold the number of firms deemed “strategic” and in which the state is obliged to own a stake, opening the way for broader participation of foreign companies in the economy.

He also expressed hope that Russia’s “strategic partnership” with Germany would help Russian companies expand their footprint in the Western European market.

While German investment in Russia amounted to around $20 billion, Russian investment in Germany lagged behind.

“There is a certain disproportion indeed,” Medvedev said. “Of course we would like to be more actively represented in the German economy. We have both a desire and money for it,” he added.

Calling Medvedev “dear Dmitry,” Merkel for her part said Russia and Germany had achieved “a high level of understanding.”

“I believe that the aim to diversify Russia’s economy, put it on a broader footing also meets the needs of our cooperation,” Merkel said, noting that 6,000 German companies were now active in Russia.

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ECONOMY

How is Denmark’s economy handling inflation and rate rises?

Denmark's economy is now expected to avoid a recession in the coming years, with fewer people losing their jobs than expected, despite high levels of inflation and rising interest rates, The Danish Economic Council has said in a new report.

How is Denmark's economy handling inflation and rate rises?

The council, led by four university economics professors commonly referred to as “the wise men” or vismænd in Denmark, gave a much rosier picture of Denmark’s economy in its spring report, published on Tuesday, than it did in its autumn report last year. 

“We, like many others, are surprised by how employment continues to rise despite inflation and higher interest rates,” the chair or ‘chief wise man’,  Carl-Johan Dalgaard, said in a press release.

“A significant drop in energy prices and a very positive development in exports mean that things have gone better than feared, and as it looks now, the slowdown will therefore be more subdued than we estimated in the autumn.”

In the English summary of its report, the council noted that in the autumn, market expectations were that energy prices would remain at a high level, with “a real concern for energy supply shortages in the winter of 2022/23”.

That the slowdown has been more subdued, it continued was largely due to a significant drop in energy prices compared to the levels seen in late summer 2022, and compared to the market expectations for 2023.  

The council now expects Denmark’s GDP growth to slow to 1 percent in 2023 rather than for the economy to shrink by 0.2 percent, as it predicted in the autumn. 

In 2024, it expects the growth rate to remain the same as in 2003, with another year of 1 percent GDP growth. In its autumn report it expected weaker growth of 0.6 percent in 2024.

What is the outlook for employment? 

In the autumn, the expert group estimated that employment in Denmark would decrease by 100,000 people towards the end of the 2023, with employment in 2024  about 1 percent below the estimated structural level. 

Now, instead, it expects employment will fall by just 50,000 people by 2025.

What does the expert group’s outlook mean for interest rates and government spending? 

Denmark’s finance minister Nikolai Wammen came in for some gentle criticism, with the experts judging that “the 2023 Finance Act, which was adopted in May, should have been tighter”.  The current government’s fiscal policy, it concludes “has not contributed to countering domestic inflationary pressures”. 

The experts expect inflation to stay above 2 percent in 2023 and 2024 and not to fall below 2 percent until 2025. 

If the government decides to follow the council’s advice, the budget in 2024 will have to be at least as tight, if not tighter than that of 2023. 

“Fiscal policy in 2024 should not contribute to increasing demand pressure, rather the opposite,” they write. 

The council also questioned the evidence justifying abolishing the Great Prayer Day holiday, which Denmark’s government has claimed will permanently increase the labour supply by 8,500 full time workers. 

“The council assumes that the abolition of Great Prayer Day will have a short-term positive effect on the labour supply, while there is no evidence of a long-term effect.” 

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