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EUROPEAN UNION

Investor confidence falters but eurozone locomotive chugs on

German investor confidence has fallen, a key survey showed Tuesday, but Europe's biggest economy should chug along a little longer as EU leaders try to get the crisis-hit eurozone back on track.

Investor confidence falters but eurozone locomotive chugs on
Photo: DPA

A survey of financial experts by the ZEW economic research institute found sentiment has fallen to an indexed 45.8 points, the seventh decline in eight months, owing largely to the eurozone’s fiscal and debt problems.

“Financial market experts consider the increasingly apparent problems of numerous countries with respect to their public debt as a major risk for German business activity,” a ZEW statement said.

The index remained well above its historical average but a six-month average also fell, suggesting Germany’s economic recovery could run out of steam in the second half of the year.

On the positive side, the European Union’s statistics arm Eurostat said the euro’s decline in value had boosted the 16-nation eurozone trade surplus to €4.5 billion ($5.5 billion) in March.

A breakdown of that data showed Germany contributed a surplus of €12.1 billion, while Ireland, Austria and Belgium posted gains of between €1.6 billion and €1.0 billion. France, Luxembourg and Slovenia were also in the black.

French and other European leaders have pressed Germany to boost domestic consumption, saying strong trade surpluses recorded by Berlin come in effect at the expense of eurozone partners, especially weaker members.

Eurozone finance ministers meeting in Brussels vowed meanwhile to fix their finances and expressed concern at the euro’s rapid fall, although the single currency’s present level around $1.24 is not a huge problem as it makes exports more competitive.

“While many observers currently tend to see the euro as a crisis barometer, recent surveys show that many German businesses tend to be more pragmatic,” ING senior economist Carsten Brzeski noted.

The chairman of the eurozone finance group backed controversial plans for Brussels to vet budgets in all 27 EU countries before they are put to national parliaments.

Germany supports greater cohesion among eurozone economic policies and Chancellor Angela Merkel made it clear Tuesday that the bloc’s locomotive did not want to haul a bunch of freeloaders behind.

“Joining the eurozone isn’t about creating a union made up of financial transfers” to troubled neighbours, Merkel told the French daily Le Monde.

Commerzbank economist Simon Junker said: “Numerous countries will have to adjust their out-of-control fiscal positions and the exaggerations on their real-estate markets.”

Merkel faces staunch domestic opposition to Germany’s participation in an IMF-led bailout of Greece and the creation of a trillion-euro emergency debt stabilisation fund for the eurozone.

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BREXIT

OPINION: Pre-Brexit Brits in Europe should be given EU long-term residency

The EU has drawn up plans to make it easier for non-EU citizens to gain longterm EU residency so they can move more easily around the bloc, but Italy-based citizens' rights campaigner Clarissa Killwick says Brits who moved to the EU before Brexit are already losing out.

OPINION: Pre-Brexit Brits in Europe should be given EU long-term residency

With all the talk about the EU long-term residency permit and the proposed improvements there is no mention that UK citizens who are Withdrawal Agreement “beneficiaries” are currently being left out in the cold.

The European Commission has stated that we can hold multiple statuses including the EU long-term permit (Under a little-known EU law, third-country nationals can in theory acquire EU-wide long-term resident status if they have lived ‘legally’ in an EU country for at least five years) but in reality it is just not happening.

This effectively leaves Brits locked into their host countries while other third country nationals can enjoy some mobility rights. As yet, in Italy, it is literally a question of the computer saying no if someone tries to apply.

The lack of access to the EU long-term permit to pre-Brexit Brits is an EU-wide issue and has been flagged up to the European Commission but progress is very slow.

READ ALSO: EU government settle on rules for how non-EU citizens could move around Europe

My guess is that few UK nationals who already have permanent residency status under the Withdrawal Agreement are even aware of the extra mobility rights they could have with the EU long-term residency permit – or do not even realise they are two different things.

Perhaps there won’t be very large numbers clamouring for it but it is nothing short of discrimination not to make it accessible to British people who’ve built their lives in the EU.

They may have lost their status as EU citizens but nothing has changed concerning the contributions they make, both economically and socially.

An example of how Withdrawal Agreement Brits in Italy are losing out

My son, who has lived almost his whole life here, wanted to study in the Netherlands to improve his employment prospects.

Dutch universities grant home fees rather than international fees to holders of an EU long-term permit. The difference in fees for a Master’s, for example, is an eye-watering €18,000. He went through the application process, collecting the requisite documents, making the payments and waited many months for an appointment at the “questura”, (local immigration office).

On the day, it took some persuading before they agreed he should be able to apply but then the whole thing was stymied because the national computer system would not accept a UK national. I am in no doubt, incidentally, that had he been successful he would have had to hand in his WA  “carta di soggiorno”.

This was back in February 2022 and nothing has budged since then. In the meantime, it is a question of pay up or give up for any students in the same boat as my son. There is, in fact, a very high take up of the EU long-term permit in Italy so my son’s non-EU contemporaries do not face this barrier.

Long-term permit: The EU’s plan to make freedom of movement easier for non- EU nationals 

Completing his studies was stalled by a year until finally his Italian citizenship came through after waiting over 5 years.  I also meet working adults in Italy with the EU long-term permit who use it for work purposes, such as in Belgium and Germany, and for family reunification.  

Withdrawal agreement card should double up as EU long-term residency permit

A statement that Withdrawal Agreement beneficiaries should be able to hold multiple statuses is not that easy to find. You have to scroll quite far down the page on the European Commission’s website to find a link to an explanatory document. It has been languishing there since March 2022 but so far not proved very useful.

It has been pointed out to the Commission that the document needs to be multilingual not just in English and “branded” as an official communication from the Commission so it can be used as a stand-alone. But having an official document you can wave at the immigration authorities is going to get you nowhere if Member State governments haven’t acknowledged that WA beneficiaries can hold multiple statuses and issue clear guidance and make sure systems are modified accordingly.

I can appreciate this is no mean feat in countries where they do not usually allow multiple statuses or, even if they do, issue more than one residency card. Of course, other statuses we should be able to hold are not confined to EU long-term residency, they should include the EU Blue Card, dual nationality, family member of an EU citizen…

Personally, I do think people should be up in arms about this. The UK and EU negotiated an agreement which not only removed our freedom of movement as EU citizens, it also failed to automatically give us equal mobility rights to other third country nationals. We are now neither one thing nor the other.

It would seem the only favour the Withdrawal Agreement did us was we didn’t have to go out and come back in again! Brits who follow us, fortunate enough to get a visa, may well pip us at the post being able to apply for EU long-term residency as clearly defined non-EU citizens.

I have been bringing this issue to the attention of the embassy in Rome, FCDO and the European Commission for three years now. I hope we will see some movement soon.

Finally, there should be no dragging of heels assuming we will all take citizenship of our host countries. Actually, we shouldn’t have to, my son was fortunate, even though it took a long time. Others may not meet the requirements or wish to give up their UK citizenship in countries which do not permit dual nationality.  

Bureaucratic challenges may seem almost insurmountable but why not simply allow our Withdrawal Agreement permanent card to double up as the EU long-term residency permit.

Clarissa Killwick,

Since 2016, Clarissa has been a citizens’ rights campaigner and advocate with the pan-European group, Brexpats – Hear Our Voice.
She is co-founder and co-admin of the FB group in Italy, Beyond Brexit – UK citizens in Italy.

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