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Economic experts blast tax cut plans

The presidents of Germany's five major economic research institutes have increased pressure on the German government over its controversial tax cut plans. They have called on the chancellor to balance the country's books.

Economic experts blast tax cut plans
Photo: DPA

Chancellor Angela Merkel is coming under increasing pressure from Germany’s main economic research institutes – the DIW, IWH, RWI, ZEW and the HWWI – over her government’s economic policy. In interviews carried out by the news agency DDP on Friday, the institute presidents called on the government to consolidate the country’s budget, rather than steeping it in further debt.

The economic experts also criticised the tax cuts planned for the new year by the ruling centre-right coalition of Christian Democrats and Free Democrats, saying that there was no room for manoeuvre in the current budget.

President of the German Institute of Economic Research (DIW) Klaus Zimmermann warned against running the country “at the expense of future generations.” Christoph M. Schmidt, president of the Rhineland-Westphalian Institute for Economic Research (RWI), called the government’s tax policy “unrealisable.”

“Between 2011 and 2016, the state needs to save €37 billion,” said Wolfgang Franz, president of the Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW). “That is a Herculean task.”

Ulrich Blum, president of the Institute for Economic Research in Halle (IWH), had special criticism for the planned reduction of sales tax in hotels from 19 percent to 7 percent. He called this a “sin” and a “nightmare.”

The economic experts pointed to the dangers to the economy posed by the ageing population, which is likely to put a huge strain on the welfare state and state finances in the next ten years. At the end of the decade “the demographic time-bomb will really go off,” said Blum.

Thomas Straubhaar of the Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWI) advised the government to follow a different tax policy. He suggested that today’s precarious economic situation did not call for individual tax cuts, but a wholesale tax reform. While cutting direct taxes like income tax was valid, indirect taxes like sales tax needed to be raised to balance this out, he said.

Zimmermann called for a sales tax rate of 25 percent. This might be unpopular, he admitted, “But in the face of a record state debt of €1.6 trillion, a sales tax increase is only a matter of time.”

Schmidt agreed that sales tax may have to be raised sooner or later. “It would be poison for economic growth, but would be politically easier to realise than reducing state subsidies,” he said.

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Beskæftigelsesfradraget: What is Denmark’s employment allowance?

Denmark's government may soon announce changes to its tax reform plans, which will give all wage earners a bigger employment allowance. What is this and how will it affect foreigners' earnings?

Beskæftigelsesfradraget: What is Denmark's employment allowance?

What is the employment allowance? 

The Beskæftigelsesfradraget (from beskæftigelse, meaning employment, and fradrag, meaning rebate) was brought in by the centre-right Liberal Party back in 2004, the idea being that it would incentivise people to get off welfare and into a job.

Everyone whose employer pays Denmark’s 8 percent AM-bidrag, or arbejdsmarkedsbidrag, automatically receives beskæftigelsesfradraget. Unlike with some of Denmark’s tax rebates, there is no need to apply. The Danish Tax Agency simply exempts the first portion of your earnings from income taxes. 

In 2022, beskæftigelsesfradraget was set at 10.65 percent of income with a maximum rebate of 44,800 kroner. 

How did the government agree to change the employment allowance in its coalition deal? 

In Responsibility for Denmark, the coalition agreement between the Social Democrats, the Liberals and the Moderate Party, the new government said it would set aside 5 billion kroner for tax reforms.

Of this, 4 billion kroner was earmarked for increasing the employment allowance, with a further 0.3 billion going towards increasing an additional employment allowance for single parents.

According to the public broadcaster DR, the expectation was that this would increase the standard employment  allowance to 12.75 percent up to a maximum rebate of 53,600 kroner. 

How might this be further increased, according to Børsen? 

According to a report in the Børsen newspaper, the government now plans to set aside a further 1.75 billion kroner for tax reforms, of which nearly half — about 800 million kroner — will go towards a further increase to the employment allowance. 

The Danish Chamber of Commerce earlier this month released an analysis in which it argued that by raising removing all limits on the rebate for single parents and raising the maximum rebate for everone else by 20,300 kroner, the government could increase the labour supply by 4,850 people, more than double the 1,500 envisaged in the government agreement. 

According to the Børsen, the government estimates that its new extended allowance will increase the labour supply by 5,150 people.  

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