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ECONOMY

Brüderle demands banks boost business lending

German Economy Minister Rainer Brüderle pressed banks on Wednesday to increase lending as the government named a "credit mediator" to boost the number of business loans.

Brüderle demands banks boost business lending
Photo: DPA

Brüderle urged banks to “fulfill their duties” to the wider economy in an interview with the public television channel ZDF.

“Taxpayers extended generous aide to help you avoid bankruptcy,” he said in reference to massive state aid extended to the troubled banking sector a year ago.

Financial institutions now had ample leeway to increase lending, Brüderle added.

His ministry later announced that Hans-Joachim Metternich had been named as a credit mediator to help Germany’s small and medium-sized enterprises obtain loans needed to fund their operations.

Metternich would work in Frankfurt and be charged with “compiling complaints from companies seeking external funding and finding constructive solutions with credit institutions,” a statement said.

France has already created such a position “with great success,” Brüderle noted.

Metternich is currently head of the public investment bank for the western German state of Rhineland-Palatinate, and would begin examining cases in March, the ministry said.

Meanwhile, a summit was planned in Berlin later on Wednesday with representatives from companies, federations and unions to discuss the threat of a credit crunch in Europe’s biggest economy.

Brüderle and Chancellor Angela Merkel have both warned that a generalised credit crunch was possible next year.

Capital Economics economist Jennifer McKeown noted that in its last Financial Stability Report, the German central bank said German banks might still have to write off €90 billion ($135 billion) in losses on loans and securitised instruments. That would imply “that the sector is not even halfway through its potential losses,” McKeown said.

But Commerzbank, the second-biggest German bank in which the state now holds a stake of around 25 percent said it would do its part to help firms out.

“We are going to take medium-term perspectives into greater consideration,” and raise loan offers by €5 billion in January, Commerzbank head Martin Blessing told the business daily Handelsblatt in an interview.

“Even if the situation is tough in 2009 and 2010, if companies have a positive fundamental perspective we will be able to extend credit.”

German savings banks were also set to create a joint fund with €5 to 10 billion, the head of their federation Heinrich Haasis told the Frankfurter Allegemeine Zeitung newspaper.

Haasis said the biggest problem in certain regions was to raise enough funds for big loans to large enterprises.

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ECONOMY

How is Denmark’s economy handling inflation and rate rises?

Denmark's economy is now expected to avoid a recession in the coming years, with fewer people losing their jobs than expected, despite high levels of inflation and rising interest rates, The Danish Economic Council has said in a new report.

How is Denmark's economy handling inflation and rate rises?

The council, led by four university economics professors commonly referred to as “the wise men” or vismænd in Denmark, gave a much rosier picture of Denmark’s economy in its spring report, published on Tuesday, than it did in its autumn report last year. 

“We, like many others, are surprised by how employment continues to rise despite inflation and higher interest rates,” the chair or ‘chief wise man’,  Carl-Johan Dalgaard, said in a press release.

“A significant drop in energy prices and a very positive development in exports mean that things have gone better than feared, and as it looks now, the slowdown will therefore be more subdued than we estimated in the autumn.”

In the English summary of its report, the council noted that in the autumn, market expectations were that energy prices would remain at a high level, with “a real concern for energy supply shortages in the winter of 2022/23”.

That the slowdown has been more subdued, it continued was largely due to a significant drop in energy prices compared to the levels seen in late summer 2022, and compared to the market expectations for 2023.  

The council now expects Denmark’s GDP growth to slow to 1 percent in 2023 rather than for the economy to shrink by 0.2 percent, as it predicted in the autumn. 

In 2024, it expects the growth rate to remain the same as in 2003, with another year of 1 percent GDP growth. In its autumn report it expected weaker growth of 0.6 percent in 2024.

What is the outlook for employment? 

In the autumn, the expert group estimated that employment in Denmark would decrease by 100,000 people towards the end of the 2023, with employment in 2024  about 1 percent below the estimated structural level. 

Now, instead, it expects employment will fall by just 50,000 people by 2025.

What does the expert group’s outlook mean for interest rates and government spending? 

Denmark’s finance minister Nikolai Wammen came in for some gentle criticism, with the experts judging that “the 2023 Finance Act, which was adopted in May, should have been tighter”.  The current government’s fiscal policy, it concludes “has not contributed to countering domestic inflationary pressures”. 

The experts expect inflation to stay above 2 percent in 2023 and 2024 and not to fall below 2 percent until 2025. 

If the government decides to follow the council’s advice, the budget in 2024 will have to be at least as tight, if not tighter than that of 2023. 

“Fiscal policy in 2024 should not contribute to increasing demand pressure, rather the opposite,” they write. 

The council also questioned the evidence justifying abolishing the Great Prayer Day holiday, which Denmark’s government has claimed will permanently increase the labour supply by 8,500 full time workers. 

“The council assumes that the abolition of Great Prayer Day will have a short-term positive effect on the labour supply, while there is no evidence of a long-term effect.” 

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