SHARE
COPY LINK

ECONOMY

Swedish companies still struggling for funding

Swedish companies are still finding it hard to get funding on the financial markets, despite signs of economic recovery, the deputy governor of Sweden's central bank, the Riksbank has said.

Karolina Ekholm made the comments in a speech on Friday in Stockholm.

“Swedish companies have gradually found it easier to find funding on the international capital markets. But the funding situation is still strained,” she said, pointing out that interest rates offered to Swedish companies are high in comparison to interest rates for government securities.

Ekholm also argued that corporate demand for export guarantees is currently much higher than in the past.

According to Ekholm, who took office in January this year, the economy is showing signs of recovery. She said world trade had now begun to stabilize “following the collapse at the beginning of the year”.

She pointed out that the forecast for Sweden’s gross domestic product (GDP) growth has been revised upwards somewhat, after falling for five consecutive quarters.

“Furthermore, indicators for development in the third quarter, such as the purchasing managers’ index and the Economic Tendency Survey, point to the recovery coming slightly sooner than we previously believed,” she says in Friday’s speech.

“We have therefore revised our forecast for growth in 2009 upwards slightly. But the recovery will begin from a very low level. Sweden’s GDP is now expected to fall by 4.9% this year compared to last year. This is the largest decline in Swedish GDP in an individual year since 1940.”

The unemployment situation is expected to be gloomy for some time to come. “This is because the labour market can not improve as long as the companies have unutilised resources and still need to reduce their workforces.”

Ekholm voted at the last monetary policy meeting in July that the repo rate should not be cut beyond 0.25%.

Member comments

Log in here to leave a comment.
Become a Member to leave a comment.
For members

ECONOMY

How is Denmark’s economy handling inflation and rate rises?

Denmark's economy is now expected to avoid a recession in the coming years, with fewer people losing their jobs than expected, despite high levels of inflation and rising interest rates, The Danish Economic Council has said in a new report.

How is Denmark's economy handling inflation and rate rises?

The council, led by four university economics professors commonly referred to as “the wise men” or vismænd in Denmark, gave a much rosier picture of Denmark’s economy in its spring report, published on Tuesday, than it did in its autumn report last year. 

“We, like many others, are surprised by how employment continues to rise despite inflation and higher interest rates,” the chair or ‘chief wise man’,  Carl-Johan Dalgaard, said in a press release.

“A significant drop in energy prices and a very positive development in exports mean that things have gone better than feared, and as it looks now, the slowdown will therefore be more subdued than we estimated in the autumn.”

In the English summary of its report, the council noted that in the autumn, market expectations were that energy prices would remain at a high level, with “a real concern for energy supply shortages in the winter of 2022/23”.

That the slowdown has been more subdued, it continued was largely due to a significant drop in energy prices compared to the levels seen in late summer 2022, and compared to the market expectations for 2023.  

The council now expects Denmark’s GDP growth to slow to 1 percent in 2023 rather than for the economy to shrink by 0.2 percent, as it predicted in the autumn. 

In 2024, it expects the growth rate to remain the same as in 2003, with another year of 1 percent GDP growth. In its autumn report it expected weaker growth of 0.6 percent in 2024.

What is the outlook for employment? 

In the autumn, the expert group estimated that employment in Denmark would decrease by 100,000 people towards the end of the 2023, with employment in 2024  about 1 percent below the estimated structural level. 

Now, instead, it expects employment will fall by just 50,000 people by 2025.

What does the expert group’s outlook mean for interest rates and government spending? 

Denmark’s finance minister Nikolai Wammen came in for some gentle criticism, with the experts judging that “the 2023 Finance Act, which was adopted in May, should have been tighter”.  The current government’s fiscal policy, it concludes “has not contributed to countering domestic inflationary pressures”. 

The experts expect inflation to stay above 2 percent in 2023 and 2024 and not to fall below 2 percent until 2025. 

If the government decides to follow the council’s advice, the budget in 2024 will have to be at least as tight, if not tighter than that of 2023. 

“Fiscal policy in 2024 should not contribute to increasing demand pressure, rather the opposite,” they write. 

The council also questioned the evidence justifying abolishing the Great Prayer Day holiday, which Denmark’s government has claimed will permanently increase the labour supply by 8,500 full time workers. 

“The council assumes that the abolition of Great Prayer Day will have a short-term positive effect on the labour supply, while there is no evidence of a long-term effect.” 

SHOW COMMENTS