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ECONOMY

MAN to put €650 million into Chinese market

The German heavy truck maker MAN unveiled a key Chinese investment Wednesday, saying it would buy 25 percent plus one share of the country's leading truck maker, Sinotruk.

MAN to put €650 million into Chinese market
Photo: DPA

The transaction, part of a “long-term strategic partnership”, would involve a capital increase in the Chinese group and was worth €560 million ($787 million) in all, a joint statement released by MAN said.

MAN would pay a 21-percent premium over Sinotruk’s 60-day trading average on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, it added.

Sinotruk is owned by the China National Heavy Duty Truck Corporation, which first began buying technology from MAN in 1984.

The deal combines “advanced technologies and engineering know-how developed by MAN in Europe and Sinotruk’s existing manufacturing platform, local expertise and extensive sales network in China,” the companies said.

Under terms of the deal, Munich-based MAN is to licence its TGA truck technology, including engine, chassis and axles technologies, as a basis for the production of a new heavy-duty truck series.

MAN chief executive Hakan Samuelsson was quoted as saying that the German group’s investment in Sinotruk “lays the foundation for the joint development of a new heavy truck series tailored to emerging markets.”

Sinotruk chairman Chunji Ma saw the deal as a way to “maintain our position as one of the leading heavy truck manufacturers.”

The Jinan-based company last year posted revenue of about €2.5 million and core earnings of €122 million.

Like western competitors, MAN has suffered from the collapse of global markets for heavy trucks, although sales of its diesel motors and turbo chargers have been more stable.

The German group, number three worldwide among heavy truck manufacturers, welcomed the chance to “gain a sustainable foothold in China”, the world’s largest and fastest growing truck market.

Investors also welcomed the deal, and MAN shares shot up by 3.52 percent to €45.94 in midday Frankfurt trading, while the DAX index of leading shares was 1.74 percent higher overall.

Meanwhile, MAN and the Swedish group Scania, both of which have Volkswagen as a major shareholder, continue to be the objects of merger rumours.

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ECONOMY

How is Denmark’s economy handling inflation and rate rises?

Denmark's economy is now expected to avoid a recession in the coming years, with fewer people losing their jobs than expected, despite high levels of inflation and rising interest rates, The Danish Economic Council has said in a new report.

How is Denmark's economy handling inflation and rate rises?

The council, led by four university economics professors commonly referred to as “the wise men” or vismænd in Denmark, gave a much rosier picture of Denmark’s economy in its spring report, published on Tuesday, than it did in its autumn report last year. 

“We, like many others, are surprised by how employment continues to rise despite inflation and higher interest rates,” the chair or ‘chief wise man’,  Carl-Johan Dalgaard, said in a press release.

“A significant drop in energy prices and a very positive development in exports mean that things have gone better than feared, and as it looks now, the slowdown will therefore be more subdued than we estimated in the autumn.”

In the English summary of its report, the council noted that in the autumn, market expectations were that energy prices would remain at a high level, with “a real concern for energy supply shortages in the winter of 2022/23”.

That the slowdown has been more subdued, it continued was largely due to a significant drop in energy prices compared to the levels seen in late summer 2022, and compared to the market expectations for 2023.  

The council now expects Denmark’s GDP growth to slow to 1 percent in 2023 rather than for the economy to shrink by 0.2 percent, as it predicted in the autumn. 

In 2024, it expects the growth rate to remain the same as in 2003, with another year of 1 percent GDP growth. In its autumn report it expected weaker growth of 0.6 percent in 2024.

What is the outlook for employment? 

In the autumn, the expert group estimated that employment in Denmark would decrease by 100,000 people towards the end of the 2023, with employment in 2024  about 1 percent below the estimated structural level. 

Now, instead, it expects employment will fall by just 50,000 people by 2025.

What does the expert group’s outlook mean for interest rates and government spending? 

Denmark’s finance minister Nikolai Wammen came in for some gentle criticism, with the experts judging that “the 2023 Finance Act, which was adopted in May, should have been tighter”.  The current government’s fiscal policy, it concludes “has not contributed to countering domestic inflationary pressures”. 

The experts expect inflation to stay above 2 percent in 2023 and 2024 and not to fall below 2 percent until 2025. 

If the government decides to follow the council’s advice, the budget in 2024 will have to be at least as tight, if not tighter than that of 2023. 

“Fiscal policy in 2024 should not contribute to increasing demand pressure, rather the opposite,” they write. 

The council also questioned the evidence justifying abolishing the Great Prayer Day holiday, which Denmark’s government has claimed will permanently increase the labour supply by 8,500 full time workers. 

“The council assumes that the abolition of Great Prayer Day will have a short-term positive effect on the labour supply, while there is no evidence of a long-term effect.” 

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