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RIKSBANK

Riksbank offers support to Estonian central bank

Sweden’s central bank announced on Friday it was entering into a “precautionary arrangement” with its Estonian counterpart should the Baltic country’s battered financial system need assistance.

Riksbank offers support to Estonian central bank

In a joint statement, the banks said their “precautionary arrangement to secure financial stability and to promote confidence on the financial markets” would allow the Estonians to borrow up to 10 billion kronor ($ 1.12 billion).

“The agreement increases the capability of Estonia’s central bank to secure financial stability,” its chief Andres Lipstok told reporters.

“The agreement is a sign of the importance of cross-border cooperation in the current world where financial markets are so integrated,” he said.

Central bank spokeswoman Livia Kulm cautioned that the deal “is in no way a sign that things have got worse in Estonian banking.”

Estonian authorities have repeatedly insisted that they will not have to follow the lead of neighbouring recession-casualty Latvia, where the government in November took over the nation’s second-biggest bank, Parex, after a depositors fled.

Sweden is heavily exposed to the economic crisis in Estonia and fellow Baltic states Latvia and Lithuania because its banks dominate their markets and its companies are among the region’s top investors.

“It is important that central banks cooperate and assist each other in times of financial stress. The financial systems in Estonia and Sweden are closely linked,” the governor of Sweden’s central bank, Stefan Ingves, said in a statement.

A Soviet-ruled state which regained independence from Moscow in 1991, Estonia long enjoyed a reputation as a “Tiger” in the European Union, which it joined in 2004, with growth rates of 10.4 percent in 2006 and 6.3 percent in 2007.

But it tipped into recession last year in the face of double-digit inflation and tighter credit rules, as well as the global crisis which hit exports of goods and services.

Output shrank 3.6 percent in 2008 and is expected to fall by up to 8.9 percent this year.

ECONOMY

Riksbank deputy ‘open to reconsidering raising rates in April’

Martin Flodén, the deputy governor of Sweden's Riksbank, has questioned whether the central bank needs to bring in further rate rises in April, following bank runs on two niche banks in the US and a crisis of confidence at Credit Suisse.

Riksbank deputy 'open to reconsidering raising rates in April'

Uncertainty in the financial market following bank runs in the US and a crisis at Swiss bank Credit Suisse could have changed the playing field, he told TT in an interview. 

“It affects which level the key interest rates need to be in order to have a contractive effect,” he said, referring to the recent days of financial market turbulence. “We can’t just look at key interest rates by themselves. It’s the key interest rate in combination with all of these developments which determines how tight financial policy will be.”

He said it was not yet obvious what decision should be taken. 

“It’s clear that monetary policy needs to stay tight, but what level of interest is that? We need to assess all of the current developments there.” 

‘Could go in different directions’

In theory, there could be such a serious financial crisis, with such a severe effect on lending and banks’ financing costs, that the central bank would be forced to adopt supportive measures, even lowering the key rate.

Flodén doesn’t think Sweden is in that situation, although he thinks there’s a possibility it could happen.

“It’s not something I can see happening right now, at least, although this could go in different directions.” 

He added that he doesn’t see any reason for any “special concern”, toning down the risk that a crisis for two smaller niche banks in the US and at Credit Suisse could affect the Swedish financial system.

“Of course, it could lead to some stress, but there aren’t actually any particular signs in Sweden, which are worrying me,” he said. 

Flodén is one of six members of the Riksbank executive board, led by Riksbank chief Erik Thedéen, responsible for making a decision on whether interest rates will go up again at the end of April.

The Riksbank has indicated that a rate hike of between 0.25 and 0.5 percent from the current 3 percent rate could be necessary.

Flodén described the most recent inflation statistics for February, where inflation unexpectedly rose to 12 percent, as “not good at all”. So-called KPIF inflation, where the effect of mortgage rates is removed, rose from 9.3 percent to 8.7 percent in January. The Riksbank’s goal is 2 percent.

“It’s clear that inflation is still far too high and that monetary policy needs to be focussed on combatting inflation,” he said, adding that inflation statistics for March will be released before the central bank is due to make a decision on whether to raise rates or not in April.

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