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ANGELA MERKEL

Merkel demands international rules for financial markets

German Chancellor Angela Merkel called on Friday for a framework of international market rules – in place of national regulations – to prevent financial crises like the one now threatening the world economy.

Merkel demands international rules for financial markets
Photo: DPA

“The economy is in the service of people,” not the inverse, she said, and the role of politicians was to show this “clearly.”

Merkel who heads the conservative Christian Democrats, said she was convinced that “the (German) social market economy model is the best rule imaginable in which people can fulfil themselves” in a spirit of “solidarity between the weakest and the strongest.”

Speaking in Dresden shortly before a meeting in Washington of G7 finance ministers on the crisis, she said: “We feel more than ever in these times that it is no longer enough to have national rules. We need rules not merely for Europe but also internationally.”

Finance ministers and central bank governors from the Group of Seven leading industrial countries were to meet to discuss steps taken by each country and ways of strengthening cooperation, US Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson had said.

Merkel’s plea for greater regulation and coordination was backed up by German Finance Minister Peer Steinbrück in Washington as he prepared to attend the G7 meeting: “We need global rules for the markets.”

Germany is of the view that the United States and Britain did not take on board its calls in the last year for revised market rules.

“Today, certain things can no longer be decided at national level and that is why such rules must be put in place,” she said. This was necessary to ensure that “a financial market crisis such as we are experiencing is not repeated.”

Berlin reportedly mulling bank plan

Germany is reportedly working on a plan to part-nationalise the country’s banks along the lines of a similar British move this week, daily Die Welt said on Friday without saying where it got the information.

The plan involves a capital injection of more than €10 billion ($13.5 billion) in return for equity stakes in German banks as well as more than 100 billion euros to guarantee loans between banks, the newspaper said in a pre-release of an article to be published on Saturday.

The paper reported Chancellor Merkel’s cabinet will decide on the plan in the coming days although there is considerable opposition from within Merkel’s conservatives, who are in a ruling coalition with the centre-left Social Democrats.

A German government spokesman declined to comment on the report.

Britain said Wednesday it would make £50 billion ($64 billion) of taxpayers’ money available to buy shares in the country’s banks in return for fresh capital. The three-part British package also makes available £200 billion in short-term loans and another £250 billion to guarantee loans between banks.

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ECONOMY

How is Denmark’s economy handling inflation and rate rises?

Denmark's economy is now expected to avoid a recession in the coming years, with fewer people losing their jobs than expected, despite high levels of inflation and rising interest rates, The Danish Economic Council has said in a new report.

How is Denmark's economy handling inflation and rate rises?

The council, led by four university economics professors commonly referred to as “the wise men” or vismænd in Denmark, gave a much rosier picture of Denmark’s economy in its spring report, published on Tuesday, than it did in its autumn report last year. 

“We, like many others, are surprised by how employment continues to rise despite inflation and higher interest rates,” the chair or ‘chief wise man’,  Carl-Johan Dalgaard, said in a press release.

“A significant drop in energy prices and a very positive development in exports mean that things have gone better than feared, and as it looks now, the slowdown will therefore be more subdued than we estimated in the autumn.”

In the English summary of its report, the council noted that in the autumn, market expectations were that energy prices would remain at a high level, with “a real concern for energy supply shortages in the winter of 2022/23”.

That the slowdown has been more subdued, it continued was largely due to a significant drop in energy prices compared to the levels seen in late summer 2022, and compared to the market expectations for 2023.  

The council now expects Denmark’s GDP growth to slow to 1 percent in 2023 rather than for the economy to shrink by 0.2 percent, as it predicted in the autumn. 

In 2024, it expects the growth rate to remain the same as in 2003, with another year of 1 percent GDP growth. In its autumn report it expected weaker growth of 0.6 percent in 2024.

What is the outlook for employment? 

In the autumn, the expert group estimated that employment in Denmark would decrease by 100,000 people towards the end of the 2023, with employment in 2024  about 1 percent below the estimated structural level. 

Now, instead, it expects employment will fall by just 50,000 people by 2025.

What does the expert group’s outlook mean for interest rates and government spending? 

Denmark’s finance minister Nikolai Wammen came in for some gentle criticism, with the experts judging that “the 2023 Finance Act, which was adopted in May, should have been tighter”.  The current government’s fiscal policy, it concludes “has not contributed to countering domestic inflationary pressures”. 

The experts expect inflation to stay above 2 percent in 2023 and 2024 and not to fall below 2 percent until 2025. 

If the government decides to follow the council’s advice, the budget in 2024 will have to be at least as tight, if not tighter than that of 2023. 

“Fiscal policy in 2024 should not contribute to increasing demand pressure, rather the opposite,” they write. 

The council also questioned the evidence justifying abolishing the Great Prayer Day holiday, which Denmark’s government has claimed will permanently increase the labour supply by 8,500 full time workers. 

“The council assumes that the abolition of Great Prayer Day will have a short-term positive effect on the labour supply, while there is no evidence of a long-term effect.” 

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