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FINANCE

What happens to my money if my Swedish bank goes bust?

Governments in other countries guarantee your savings if your bank collapses. Does this happen in Sweden, and if so how does the system work? Jenny, Gothenburg.

What happens to my money if my Swedish bank goes bust?

Sweden, like most other western countries, has a system to protect depositors if a bank fails. As of October 6th 2008, the first 500,000 kronor is protected, but the system is complex. Here, we answer the main questions.

What’s the likelihood of a Swedish bank going bust?

No Swedish bank has so far collapsed following the onset of the world financial crisis. Swedish banks are generally perceived to be well-capitalized, although some observers have expressed concern about Swedbank, which has significant exposure to the faltering economies of the Baltic states. A $1.35 billion loan to failed investment bank Lehman Brothers has added to concerns about Swedbank’s future.

The authorities have insisted that the solvency of Swedish banks is not in doubt. Stefan Ingves, governor of the Riksbank, Sweden’s central bank, has said that Swedbank “has a good capital base, good profitability and very low loan losses, as is true for Swedish banks in general.”

It is also worth remembering that troubled banks in other countries have been nationalized or taken over by other banks rather than being allowed to fail. Indeed, Sweden has form on this question – during the bank crisis of the early 1990s, the Swedish government supported banks in return for equity. Nordbanken – now Nordea – was fully nationalized and the Swedish state retains a large stake in the bank to this day.

But what would happen to my money if a Swedish bank did collapse?

Like in other countries, a system is in place to guarantee savings up to a certain level. Banks pay fees to the Swedish Deposit Insurance Scheme (Insättningsgarantin), which then compensates savers who lose out if a bank goes bust. The Swedish fund is worth 17 billion kronor, which makes it larger in relative terms than any other similar fund.

The most obvious limitation to the scheme is that it only guarantees the first 500,000 kronor per person per bank (the amount guaranteed was raised on Monday from 250,000 kronor). This means that if you have more than this amount in the same bank you might not recover it from the state if the bank collapses.

What about savings accounts?

The increased guarantee introduced on October 6th 2008 covers all deposits in Swedish banks (the old guarantee excluded some savings accounts, but these are now covered).

I’ve got a mortgage in the same bank as my savings account. What then if the bank goes bust?

One difference between the Swedish scheme and similar schemes in other countries is that any mortgage debts are treated separately from savings. This means your debts will not be subtracted from any compensation, but will most likely be taken over by another institution.

How quickly would I receive my compensation?

Well, according to experience, pretty slowly. The scheme was put to the test in 2006, when the Custodia credit institute collapsed. In that case slightly fewer than 1,300 savers were hit, but many were left waiting more than six months to receive compensation from the state. Magnus Thor says Riksgälden, which only took over responsibility for the scheme in January, would usually pay out more quickly.

“The basic rule is that we will pay out within three months, although in a complex case it could take longer.”

I run a small company – what about my company’s money?

Company accounts are covered in exactly the same way as personal bank accounts. A company or association can claim back up to 500,000 kronor per bank.

What if the fund runs out of money?

Given the size of the Swedish fund, this is unlikely, but if there was no money left in the fund to pay the victims of a bank collapse, the government would step in to compensate savers.

The government has set up an inquiry to look at the state’s powers to intervene in a banking crisis. This is expected to lead to a bill clarifying the circumstances in which the government can take over a Swedish bank in financial trouble.

My money’s with a foreign bank. What happens then?

If you have money with a Swedish-incorporated subsidiary of a foreign bank, you are covered by the Swedish guarantee. If your deposits are held by a foreign bank, not via a Swedish subsidiary, your money may be covered by the deposit guarantees of that country, even if you opened the account via a Swedish branch office.

For instance, if you have money in Kaupting Edge (which is registered in Iceland) you are covered by the Icelandic deposit insurance. If you have money in Kaupting Sverige AB (a Swedish subsidiary of the Icelandic bank) you are covered by the Swedish guarantee.

If the money paid out by a foreign scheme is less than the 500,000 kronor guaranteed by Sweden, you may be entitled to claim the difference from Riksgälden.

How would I make my compensation claim?

The Swedish National Debt Office will contact all customers of any bank that collapses.

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ECONOMY

How is Denmark’s economy handling inflation and rate rises?

Denmark's economy is now expected to avoid a recession in the coming years, with fewer people losing their jobs than expected, despite high levels of inflation and rising interest rates, The Danish Economic Council has said in a new report.

How is Denmark's economy handling inflation and rate rises?

The council, led by four university economics professors commonly referred to as “the wise men” or vismænd in Denmark, gave a much rosier picture of Denmark’s economy in its spring report, published on Tuesday, than it did in its autumn report last year. 

“We, like many others, are surprised by how employment continues to rise despite inflation and higher interest rates,” the chair or ‘chief wise man’,  Carl-Johan Dalgaard, said in a press release.

“A significant drop in energy prices and a very positive development in exports mean that things have gone better than feared, and as it looks now, the slowdown will therefore be more subdued than we estimated in the autumn.”

In the English summary of its report, the council noted that in the autumn, market expectations were that energy prices would remain at a high level, with “a real concern for energy supply shortages in the winter of 2022/23”.

That the slowdown has been more subdued, it continued was largely due to a significant drop in energy prices compared to the levels seen in late summer 2022, and compared to the market expectations for 2023.  

The council now expects Denmark’s GDP growth to slow to 1 percent in 2023 rather than for the economy to shrink by 0.2 percent, as it predicted in the autumn. 

In 2024, it expects the growth rate to remain the same as in 2003, with another year of 1 percent GDP growth. In its autumn report it expected weaker growth of 0.6 percent in 2024.

What is the outlook for employment? 

In the autumn, the expert group estimated that employment in Denmark would decrease by 100,000 people towards the end of the 2023, with employment in 2024  about 1 percent below the estimated structural level. 

Now, instead, it expects employment will fall by just 50,000 people by 2025.

What does the expert group’s outlook mean for interest rates and government spending? 

Denmark’s finance minister Nikolai Wammen came in for some gentle criticism, with the experts judging that “the 2023 Finance Act, which was adopted in May, should have been tighter”.  The current government’s fiscal policy, it concludes “has not contributed to countering domestic inflationary pressures”. 

The experts expect inflation to stay above 2 percent in 2023 and 2024 and not to fall below 2 percent until 2025. 

If the government decides to follow the council’s advice, the budget in 2024 will have to be at least as tight, if not tighter than that of 2023. 

“Fiscal policy in 2024 should not contribute to increasing demand pressure, rather the opposite,” they write. 

The council also questioned the evidence justifying abolishing the Great Prayer Day holiday, which Denmark’s government has claimed will permanently increase the labour supply by 8,500 full time workers. 

“The council assumes that the abolition of Great Prayer Day will have a short-term positive effect on the labour supply, while there is no evidence of a long-term effect.” 

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