SHARE
COPY LINK

BUSINESS

High oil prices undermine Ifo German business sentiment

Germany's key business confidence index dropped sharply in June, underscoring the damaging effect of persistently high oil prices on Europe's biggest economy.

The monthly business climate index, calculated by Munich-based economic research institute Ifo, fell to 101.3 points from 103.5 points in May. The significant fall indicated that companies surveyed “have assessed their current business situation clearly less favourably than in the previous month, and they are more sceptical regarding the six-month outlook,” a statement said.

Ifo’s current situation index slipped to 108.3 points in June from 110.1 points, while the six-month expectations indicator dropped to 94.7 points from 97.2 points one month earlier.

“The sharp hike in oil prices is evidently becoming an increasing burden on the German economy,” Ifo said.

Last week, a survey of German investors by the ZEW economic institute showed financial sector confidence falling to its lowest level since 1992 as a result of high oil prices and expectations of higher borrowing costs in the 15-nation euro zone.

Economists polled by Dow Jones Newswires had expected the Ifo index to fall to just 102.3 points, and the sharper drop signalled that a surprisingly strong first quarter German economic performance was now well in the past. A breakdown by sector showed that the climate in Germany’s benchmark manufacturing sector “has worsened significantly,” Ifo said.

Both current and six-month indicators fell in June, with firms reporting that they “expect weaker stimulus from export business in the coming months.” That said, “despite the strong euro, they do not fear a slump in exports,” Ifo added. Germany is the world’s leading exporter.

The construction sector reported a somewhat brighter climate meanwhile, in particular regarding the situation at present, while wholesaling and retailing indexes both fell.

Ifo questions around 7,000 German firms each month to check the pulse of German business activity, and its index is considered the best indicator of the country’s economic climate.

But even though the results provided evidence that the powerhouse economy is hitting the brakes, analysts still expect the European Central Bank to raise its main lending rate in early July to 4.25 percent from 4.0 percent at present.

Euro-zone inflation hit a record 3.7 percent in May, and ECB directors are determined to keep prices from soaring out of control in a zone that comprises around 320 million inhabitants.

ENVIRONMENT

Sweden’s SSAB to build €4.5bn green steel plant in Luleå 

The Swedish steel giant SSAB has announced plans to build a new steel plant in Luleå for 52 billion kronor (€4.5 billion), with the new plant expected to produce 2.5 million tons of steel a year from 2028.

Sweden's SSAB to build €4.5bn green steel plant in Luleå 

“The transformation of Luleå is a major step on our journey to fossil-free steel production,” the company’s chief executive, Martin Lindqvist, said in a press release. “We will remove seven percent of Sweden’s carbon dioxide emissions, strengthen our competitiveness and secure jobs with the most cost-effective and sustainable sheet metal production in Europe.”

The new mini-mill, which is expected to start production at the end of 2028 and to hit full capacity in 2029, will include two electric arc furnaces, advanced secondary metallurgy, a direct strip rolling mill to produce SSABs specialty products, and a cold rolling complex to develop premium products for the transport industry.

It will be fed partly from hydrogen reduced iron ore produced at the HYBRIT joint venture in Gälliväre and partly with scrap steel. The company hopes to receive its environemntal permits by the end of 2024.

READ ALSO: 

The announcement comes just one week after SSAB revealed that it was seeking $500m in funding from the US government to develop a second HYBRIT manufacturing facility, using green hydrogen instead of fossil fuels to produce direct reduced iron and steel.

The company said it also hoped to expand capacity at SSAB’s steel mill in Montpelier, Iowa. 

The two new investment announcements strengthen the company’s claim to be the global pioneer in fossil-free steel.

It produced the world’s first sponge iron made with hydrogen instead of coke at its Hybrit pilot plant in Luleå in 2021. Gälliväre was chosen that same year as the site for the world’s first industrial scale plant using the technology. 

In 2023, SSAB announced it would transform its steel mill in Oxelösund to fossil-free production.

The company’s Raahe mill in Finland, which currently has new most advanced equipment, will be the last of the company’s big plants to shift away from blast furnaces. 

The steel industry currently produces 7 percent of the world’s carbon dioxide emissions, and shifting to hydrogen reduced steel and closing blast furnaces will reduce Sweden’s carbon emissions by 10 per cent and Finland’s by 7 per cent.

SHOW COMMENTS